Market Analysis

Weekly outlooks, technical setups, and market structure breakdowns for major currency pairs.

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Weekly outlooks and chart-based trade ideas.

Just 4% of fund managers see a hard landing - BofA survey

Record rise in equity allocations by global fund managers in May Just 4% of fund managers see hard landing 66% of respondents expect Hormuz bottleneck to end in next few months 62% of respondents target 6% on 30-year treasury yields, 20% target 4% 40% of respondents say second…

Japan's solid Q1 GDP faces reality check as Iran war threatens economy - Reuters

Japan's solid Q1 GDP faces reality check as Iran war threatens economy Reuters

Dollar steadies from weakness as Trump calls off planned attack on Iran - Reuters

Dollar steadies from weakness as Trump calls off planned attack on Iran Reuters

Bank of England's Greene says central banks can't assume Iran war impact will be temporary - Reuters

Bank of England's Greene says central banks can't assume Iran war impact will be temporary Reuters

Bank of England does not need to hike interest rates, says IMF — it may even need to cut

The Bank of England is expected to hold and even potentially hike interest rates this year in response to resurgent inflation sparked by the Iran war.

Dollar retreats as traders focus on Iran, Fed policy - Reuters

Dollar retreats as traders focus on Iran, Fed policy Reuters

Gold rises on weaker dollar but rising oil, bond yields limit gains - Reuters

Gold rises on weaker dollar but rising oil, bond yields limit gains Reuters

Ominous bond trades point to much higher rates

The put bets would be a bet on a yield spike since bond prices (value of the TLT fund) move inversely to rates.

As bond yields surge, investors grow wary of a global spending crunch - Reuters

As bond yields surge, investors grow wary of a global spending crunch Reuters

Kevin Warsh comes into the Fed facing a big 'family fight' over cutting interest rates

With inflation spiking and Treasury yields surging, Warsh is likely to confront a Federal Open Market Committee in no mood to ease.

Stocks fall as inflation jitters lift bond yields: Markets wrap

Global equities fell, with the S&P 500 down 1%, led by a decline in technology shares; US 10-year yields surpassed 4.5%, and Japan’s 30-year yield reached 4% for the first time

Global bonds battered as flaring inflation spooks investors - Reuters

Global bonds battered as flaring inflation spooks investors Reuters